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388 will rise up to $500?

 

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I have recently read some news about 388 which says that 388 will rise up to $500 within the coming few years due to high profitability and continuously falling P/E. Believable or not? Recent trend has shown that 388 has reached a line of resistance and has been falling even against the upward trend of HSI, quite... 顯示更多 I have recently read some news about 388 which says that 388 will rise up to $500 within the coming few years due to high profitability and continuously falling P/E. Believable or not? Recent trend has shown that 388 has reached a line of resistance and has been falling even against the upward trend of HSI, quite contrary to the prediction. Is it a normal adjustment or an indicator of a continuously falling trend? Should we set a stop-loss limit or continue to hold?(preferably by Yoki Wong) 更新: 多謝十分.愛的回答。 分析很有道理。但仍想問這是否意味著要升到$500.00的機會很微?因$150.00近$500.00還有很大的差距,若NAV沒相對上升,P/B愈升愈高,豈非愈來愈risky?

最佳解答:

道亨將港交所(0388)評級由持有上調至買進﹐3個月目標價150港元﹔將2007和2008年股市日平均成交額預期分別上調12.5%和21.4%﹐至675億港元和850億港元。它指出﹐本地區股票交易所的08財政年度平均市盈率預期為30倍﹑08財政年度香港交易所預期每股收益4.556港元﹐而相信香港交易所較低的成本對收入比及中國大陸長期內可能放開資本項目應令其能夠取得估值溢價﹐2008年市盈率最高可達33倍﹐因此目標價150港元。該股現跌0.8%﹐報129.40港元﹐恆生指數漲幅為0.8%﹐因獲利回吐壓力仍然較大﹐香港交易所6月份以來的漲幅仍達48%。 大手成交 - 香港交易所 0388 ( 2007-07-20 ) 分析圖表 平均價 成交量 大手成交(宗數) 大手成交總數 129.94 3.50M 230 圖片參考:http://www.aastocks.com/chi/blocktrade/up.gif 市價以上成交 129.99 1.89M 127 圖片參考:http://www.aastocks.com/chi/blocktrade/down.gif 市價以下成交 129.87 1.60M 103 圖片參考:http://www.aastocks.com/chi/blocktrade/space.gif 圖片參考:http://www.aastocks.com/chi/blocktrade/up.gif 46% 54%

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